How much trace of Logic is present in an extremely rare and random event? Such as a ‘human factor-caused’ accident, for example? Can we ultimately come up with a solution to effectively guard against them with predictable results?
There was a time when I was very interested in reading any materials related to the topic. That interest still lingers, - which is understandable - I’m still in a business.. eh, let me put it, for the purposes of this article, this way: in such a ‘branch of human activity‘ - where successful outcome of working processes heavily depends on harmony of interaction between the human being and sophisticated, computerized machinery.
At that time, at the dawn of my airline pilot career, when my interest toward a theme of human factors was growing, I happened to get acquainted with gentleman who worked on a field of human factors research with a tiny group of scientists in the Kiev Institute of Civil Aviation. What was especially interesting about this group and their research activity, - and what was placing them at some odds with the ‘official Soviet academia’ - was the fact that they ‘prophecized’ and exercised a so-called ‘Process Approach‘ to all the research subjects in area of concern.
It would be a big strain to tell you ‘I was fascinated with their works at once’ 
, - theory statements were barely making any sense to me, even when Evgeny Michailovich Khokhlov, - that gentleman I got acquainted with, - in a ‘private lecture’ tried to get across with some ‘Process Analysis basics‘.
No doubt, the subject matter was not the case you could brash off with a nonchalant ‘Uh, it’s not a rocket science!’ Nevertheless, I was left in an impression it was something ‘hard to crack, - but fun trying‘
And I did give it a try. Moreover, at times still do, - as it was lately, after the recent occurrence in Perm, - the old interest was refueled, especially when it began to seem the HUMAN FACTORS largely contributed to that tragedy.
From those pieces of informational puzzle composing the whole picture of this yet unresolved accident, - that have become known to the date, and that would be trusted as credible, - with some degree of certainty one could say investigators are about to deal with another case of negative ‘Informational Factor Resonance‘ affected operator’s (i.e., - pilot’s) performance.
Sounds vague and foreign? Doesn’t ring a bell? Yeah, it is said on the language of Process Analysis science. For your information, the graph you can see on the top of this post is a mathematical representation of a ‘Factor Effect’ phenomenon.
I think, it would be worthwhile to interpret some aspects of this ‘arcane’ theory, one piece at a time, (so that I wouldn’t get lost in it by myself ) in a new series of posts on this blog.
So, let the ‘Process Analysis‘ category be set up here!
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